- Author
- Gurgul Piotr (AGH University of Science and Technology Kraków, Poland), Zając Paweł (AGH University of Science and Technology Kraków, Poland)
- Title
- Forecasting of Migration Matrices in Business
- Source
- Statistics in Transition, 2012, vol. 13, nr 2, s. 387-404, tab., bibliogr. 41 poz.
- Keyword
- Migracja, Macierze przejścia, Przedsiębiorstwo
Migration, Transition matrices, Enterprises - Note
- summ.
- Abstract
- This paper demonstrates that the forecast of migration matrices can be conducted by means of updating procedures, well-known in the I-O theory. The authors use some of the most popular I-O updating procedures (RAS and some non-biproportional approaches) and calculate measures of the ex-post error of predictions. While taking into account the measures of distance between two matrices, a ranking of forecasting methods of migration matrices (forecast horizon one) is established. Finally, the advantages and drawbacks of particular forecasting methods with respect to one-step ex-post forecasts of migration matrices are discussed. (original abstract)
- Accessibility
- The Main Library of the Cracow University of Economics
The Library of Warsaw School of Economics
The Library of University of Economics in Katowice
The Main Library of Poznań University of Economics and Business
The Main Library of the Wroclaw University of Economics - Full text
- Show
- Bibliography
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- Cited by
- ISSN
- 1234-7655
- Language
- eng