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Author
Shangodoyin D. K. (University of Botswana, Botswana), Ojo J. F. (University of Ibadan, Nigeria), Olaomi J. O. (University of Botswana, Botswana), Adebile A. O. (Federal Polytechnic, Ede)
Title
Time Series Model for Predicting the Mean Death Rate of a Disease
Source
Statistics in Transition, 2012, vol. 13, nr 2, s. 405-418, aneks, bibliogr. 24 poz.
Keyword
Analiza szeregów czasowych, Umieralność, Modele autoregresji
Time-series analysis, Mortality, Autoregression models
Note
summ.
Abstract
This study develops a time series model to estimate the mean death rate of either an emerging disease or re-emerging disease with a bilinear induced model. The estimated death rate converges rapidly to the true parameter value for a given mean death at time t. The derived model could be used in predicting the m-step future death rate value of a given disease. We illustrated the new concept with real life data. (original abstract)
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Bibliography
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ISSN
1234-7655
Language
eng
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