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Author
van den Brakel Jan A. (Statistics Netherlands; Maastricht University), Buelens Bart (Statistics Netherlands)
Title
Covariate Selection for Small Area Estimation in Repeated Sample Surveys
Source
Statistics in Transition, 2015, vol. 16, nr 4, s. 523-540, rys., tab., aneks, bibliogr. s. 538-540
Issue title
The Measurement of Subjective Well-Being in Survey Research
Keyword
Statystyka małych obszarów, Badania reprezentacyjne, Dobór próby badawczej, Metodologia badań
Small area estimates, Sampling survey, Selection of test methods, Research methodology
Note
Materiały z międzynarodowej konferencji Small Area Estimation (SAE 2014), Poznań.
summ.
Abstract
If the implementation of small area estimation methods to multiple editions of a repeated sample survey is considered, then the question arises which covariates to use in the models. Applying standard model selection procedures independently to the different editions of the survey may identify different sets of covariates for each edition. If the small area predictions are sensitive to the different models, this is undesirable in official statistics since monitoring change over time of statistical quantities is of utmost importance. Therefore, potential confounding of true change and methodological alterations should be avoided. An approach to model selection is proposed resulting in a single set of covariates for multiple survey editions. This is achieved through conducting covariate selection simultaneously for all editions, minimizing the average of the edition-specific conditional Akaike Information Criteria. Consecutive editions of the Dutch crime victimization survey are used as a case study. Municipal estimates of three survey variables are obtained using area level models. The proposed averaging strategy is compared to the standard method of considering each edition separately, and to an elementary approach using co-variates selected in the first edition. Resulting models, point estimates and MSE estimates are analyzed, indicating no substantial adverse effects of the conceptually attractive averaging strategy. (original abstract)
Accessibility
The Main Library of the Cracow University of Economics
The Library of Warsaw School of Economics
The Library of University of Economics in Katowice
The Main Library of the Wroclaw University of Economics
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ISSN
1234-7655
Language
eng
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