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Author
Pisula Tomasz (Rzeszow University of Technology, Poland), Mentel Grzegorz (Rzeszow University of Technology, Poland), Brożyna Jacek (Rzeszow University of Technology, Poland)
Title
Non-Statistical Methods of Analysing of Bankruptcy Risk
Source
Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, 2015, vol. 15, nr 1, s. 7-21, tab., bibliogr. 19 poz.
Keyword
Prognozowanie, Modelowanie ekonometryczne, Ryzyko, Bankructwo
Forecasting, Econometric modeling, Risk, Bankruptcy
Note
summ.
Abstract
The article focuses on assessing the effectiveness of a non-statistical approach to bankruptcy modelling in enterprises operating in the logistics sector. In order to describe the issue more comprehensively, the aforementioned prediction of the possible negative results of business operations was carried out for companies functioning in the Polish region of Podkarpacie, and in Slovakia. The bankruptcy predictors selected for the assessment of companies operating in the logistics sector included 28 financial indicators characterizing these enterprises in terms of their financial standing and management effectiveness. The purpose of the study was to identify factors (models) describing the bankruptcy risk in enterprises in the context of their forecasting effectiveness in a one-year and two-year time horizon. In order to assess their practical applicability the models were carefully analysed and validated. The usefulness of the models was assessed in terms of their classification properties, and the capacity to accurately identify enterprises at risk of bankruptcy and healthy companies as well as proper calibration of the models to the data from training sample sets.(original abstract)
Accessibility
The Library of University of Economics in Katowice
The Main Library of the Wroclaw University of Economics
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Bibliography
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ISSN
1730-4237
Language
eng
URI / DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/foli-2015-0029
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