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Author
Rozkrut Dominik (Uniwersytet Szczeciński)
Title
Okresowość w rozwoju gospodarczym województwa szczecińskiego i zachodniopomorskiego
Periodicity in Economic Development of Szczecin's Province
Source
Prace Naukowe Akademii Ekonomicznej we Wrocławiu. Taksonomia (11), 2004, nr 1022, s. 631-640, rys., tab., bibliogr. 6 poz.
Issue title
Klasyfikacja i analiza danych - teoria i zastosowania
Keyword
Rozwój gospodarczy, Rozwój gospodarczy regionów, Sezonowość, Analiza szeregów czasowych
Economic development, Economic development of regions, Seasonal character, Time-series analysis
Note
summ.
Country
Województwo szczecińskie, Województwo zachodniopomorskie
Szczecin Voivodeship, West Pomeranian Voivodeship
Abstract
Wykorzystując metodę Census II w wariancie X-11 zanalizowano szeregi czasowe i zbadano okresowość rozwoju gospodarczego województwa szczecińskiego i zachodniopomorskiego.

The results of the thorough study of symptoms of periodicity in economic time series are presented. Analyzed time series are main economic indicators for Szczecin's province in the period of 1991-2003. The X-11 variant of Census II seasonal adjustment method was used in the study. The use of interesting measures and tests produced by the method were stressed. Chosen statistics and test are especially interesting from the point of view of periodicity analysis. Among them test for statistical significance of seasonality in the series and the measure of so called Month of Cyclical Dominance are discussed. (original abstract)
Accessibility
The Main Library of the Cracow University of Economics
The Library of Warsaw School of Economics
The Main Library of Poznań University of Economics and Business
Bibliography
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  1. Bell W.R., Hillmer C., Issues Involved with the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series, "Journal of Business and Economic Statistics" 1984, nr 2.
  2. Bums A.F., Mitchell W.C., Measuring Business Cycles, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge 1946.
  3. Hozer J., Rozkrut D., Budowa i prognozowanie wskaźnika koniunktury gospodarczej regionu, "Wiadomości Statystyczne" 1999, nr 7.
  4. Hylleberg S., Seasonality in Regression, Academic Press, Orlando 1986.
  5. Findley D.F., Monsell B.C., Bell W.R., Otto M.C., Chen В.-Ch., New Capabilities and Methods of the X-12-ARIMA Seasonal Adjustment Program, "Journal of Business and Economic Statistics" 1988, vol. 16, nr 2.
  6. Wiśniewski J., Interdependence of Cyclical and Seasonal Variation, "Econometrica" 1934, nr 2, s. 176-185.
Cited by
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ISSN
0324-8445
1505-9332
Language
pol
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