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Author
Szanduła Jacek (Akademia Ekonomiczna we Wrocławiu)
Title
Optymalizacja wag w modelu średniej ruchomej ważonej
Weights Optimization in Weighted Moving Average Model
Source
Prace Naukowe Akademii Ekonomicznej we Wrocławiu. Ekonometria (18), 2007, nr 1151, s. 64-76, rys., bibliogr. 3 poz.
Issue title
Zastosowania metod ilościowych
Keyword
Modele prognostyczne, Analiza szeregów czasowych
Forecasting models, Time-series analysis
Note
summ.
Abstract
Omówiono sposób optymalizacji wag w modelu średniej ruchomej ważonej.

The paper presents a way to optimize weights in weighted moving average model. The minimum of the ex post forecasts mean-square error was chosen as a criterion of optimization. The author also presents the way of estimating ex ante forecasts errors. They are useful both for evaluating the admissibility of forecasts calculated with the use of estimated models and for calculating forecasts confidence intervals. (original abstract)
Accessibility
The Main Library of the Cracow University of Economics
The Library of Warsaw School of Economics
The Main Library of Poznań University of Economics and Business
Full text
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Bibliography
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  1. Beale E.M.L., On Minimizing a Convex Function Subject to Linear Inequalities, "Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B" 1955, 17, 173-184.
  2. Kmenta J., Elements of Econometrics, Second Edition, The University of Michigan Press, 2000.
  3. Theil H., Zasady ekonometrii, PWN, Warszawa 1979.
Cited by
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ISSN
0324-8445
1507-3866
Language
pol
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