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Rębiasz Bogdan (AGH University of Science and Technology Kraków, Poland), Gaweł Bartłomiej (AGH University of Science and Technology Kraków, Poland), Skalna Iwona (AGH University of Science and Technology Kraków, Poland)
Valuing Managerial Flexibility : an Application of Real-Option Theory to Steel Industry Investments
Operations Research and Decisions, 2017, vol. 27, no. 2, s. 91-111, rys., tab., bibliogr. 28 poz.
Opcje realne, Procesy stochastyczne, Decyzje inwestycyjne, Symulacja Monte Carlo, Przemysł stalowy
Real options, Stochastic processes, Investment decisions, Monte Carlo simulation, Steel industry
In the steel industry which is subject to significant volatility in its output prices and market demands for different ranges of products the diversification of production can generate important value for switch real options. Therefore, a common practice is to invest in various assets, thus generating the possibility of diversification of production and valuable switch options. The incremental benefit of product switch options in steel plant projects has been assessed. Such options are valued using the Monte Carlo simulation and modeling the prices of and demand for steel products as geometric Brownian motion (GBM). Our results show that this option can generate a significant increase in the net present value (NPV) of metallurgical projects. (original abstract)
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