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Author
Gołata Elżbieta (Akademia Ekonomiczna w Poznaniu), Paradysz Jan (Akademia Ekonomiczna w Poznaniu)
Title
Demograficzne korzenie i perspektywy statystyki małych obszarów
Demographic Roots and Perspectives of Small Area Statistics
Source
Prace Naukowe Akademii Ekonomicznej we Wrocławiu, 2007, nr 1163, s. 89-108, rys., tab., bibliogr. 62 poz.
Issue title
Statystyka w praktyce społeczno-gospodarczej
Keyword
Statystyka małych obszarów, Demografia
Small area estimates, Demography
Note
summ.
Abstract
Podręczniki i publikacje przeglądowe omawiające zagadnienia statystyki małych obszarów SMO podkreślają jej demograficzną genezę. Autorzy tych opracowań ograniczają się w zasadzie do wskazania na szacunki liczby ludności w okresach międzyspisowych. W niniejszym opracowaniu przedstawiono przyczyny warunkujące rozwój metodologii estymacji pośredniej na gruncie badań ludnościowych, obszernie omówiono zakres dotychczasowych aplikacji oraz wskazano perspektywy dalszych zastosowań. Zwrócono uwagę, iż w dobie szczupłości zasobów finansowych, również w ramach innych dziedzin nauki, wykorzystanie idei integracji danych z różnych źródeł może przyczynić się do poprawy jakości wnioskowania statystycznego. (fragment tekstu)

Small area estimation is becoming important in survey sampling due to a growing demand for reliable small area statistics from both public and private sectors. The paper refers to demographic background of small area estimation SAE, its determinants, applications and perspectives. Usually the demographic origin of SAE is restricted to methods for local estimation of population in post-censual years. That is why demographics contribution in the development of SAE techniques is presented according to the classification by J.N.K. Rao and the one used by UN experts in demographic research. The studies conducted by Polish demographers are described and own classification of SAE methods in demography, combining the two above mentioned as well as own experience is proposed. The present article is largely an appraisal of some of the methods. Among others we focus on E. Arriaga, G. Feeney and L. Henry methods for fertility estimation. Underlining the impact of demography in SAE studies we tried to mention the most important directions of further development. First of all, estimation methodology, data mining and integration of electronic data bases are considered. Special attention is focused on integration of administration records and survey studies. (original abstract)
Accessibility
The Main Library of the Cracow University of Economics
The Main Library of Poznań University of Economics and Business
Bibliography
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ISSN
0324-8445
Language
pol
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