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Author
Strojny Jacek (Uniwersytet Rolniczy im. Hugona Kołłątaja w Krakowie)
Title
Wzrost pobudzany eksportem czy eksport stymulowany wzrostem sektora rolnego
Growth Led by Exports or Exports Driven by Agricultural Sector Growth
Source
Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, 2018, t. 18(33), z. 1, s. 248-262, rys., tab., bibliogr. 49 poz.
Scientific Journal Warsaw University of Life Sciences SGGW - Problems of Word Agriculture
Keyword
Kointegracja, Model wektorowej autoregresji, Przemysł rolno-spożywczy, Produkcja rolna, Eksport produktów rolnych
Cointegration, Vector Autoregression Model (VAR), Agri-food industry, Agricultural production, Agricultural exports
Note
streszcz., summ.
Abstract
Celem opracowania jest analiza współzależności między międzynarodową wymianą produktami rolno-żywnościowymi a poziomem produkcji rolnej w wybranych krajach UE. Badanie oparto na metodologii analizy kointegracyjnej i modelach wektorowej autoregresji (VAR). Znaczenie ekspansji eksportowej dla wzrostu produkcji rolnej jest odmienne w poszczególnych krajach UE. W Polsce produkcja rolna jest kształtowana w znacznej mierze poziomem eksportu, ale pozostaje także pod wpływem własnej tendencji rozwojowej. Polski eksport rolno-spożywczy jest kształtowany własną tendencją rozwojową. Dla Francji nie wykryto współzależności między produkcją rolną i eksportem rolno-żywnościowym. Z drugiej strony, eksport jest kształtowany własną tendencją rozwojową i zidentyfikowano zależność między eksportem i produkcją rolną. Podsumowując, w Polsce eksport wspiera produkcję rolną, a we Francji wysoki poziom produkcji sektora rolnego stymuluje eksport. (abstrakt oryginalny)

The aim of the article is to analyze the interrelationship between the international exchange of agri-food products and the level of the agricultural production in selected EU countries. The study is based on cointegration analysis methodology and employs vector autoregression models (VAR). The relevance of export expansion for the growth of agricultural production differs in individual EU countries. Agricultural production in Poland has a lot to do with the level of the exports, but it is under the influence of its own developmental tendency, as well. The Polish agri-food exports are shaped heavily by their own trend. No interrelationship was detected between agricultural production and agri-food exports in France. On the other hand, exports are influenced by their trend and additionally a strong impact of the level of agricultural production on exports was detected. To conclude, exports support agricultural production in Poland, and the high level of production of the agricultural sector stimulates exports in France. (original abstract)
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Bibliography
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ISSN
2081-6960
Language
pol
URI / DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.22630/PRS.2018.18.1.23
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