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Author
Serwa Dobromił (Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie)
Title
Overlapping Observations in Credit Risk Models
Source
Econometric Research in Finance, 2022, vol. 7, nr 2, s. 193-211, bibliogr. 17 poz.
Keyword
Ryzyko kredytowe, Regresja logistyczna, System bankowy
Credit risk, Logistic regression, Banking system
Note
JEL classification: C13, C23, C25, E51
summ.
Abstract
Parameters in logistic regression models for probability of default are typically estimated using the maximum likelihood method. The aim of this paper is to verify whether the use of overlapping observations improves precision or causes deterioration of estimation results in these models. Our Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that the difference between parameter estimates using all overlapping observations in a sample and only non-overlapping observations in a reduced sample is not statistically significant, but the variance of parameter estimates is reduced when overlapping observations are used.(original abstract)
Accessibility
The Library of Warsaw School of Economics
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Bibliography
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Cited by
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ISSN
2451-1935
2451-2370
Language
eng
URI / DOI
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/erfin-2022-0007
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