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Autor
Akarca Ali T. (University of Illinois at Chicago, USA)
Tytuł
Inter-election Vote Swings for the Turkish Ruling Party : the Impact of Economic Performance and Other Factors
Źródło
Equilibrium, 2011, vol. 6, nr 3, s. 7-25, tab., bibliogr. 17 poz.
Słowa kluczowe
Wyniki gospodarcze, Decyzje wyborcze, Partie polityczne
Economic performance, Voting decisions, Political parties
Uwagi
summ.
Kraj/Region
Turcja
Turkey
Abstrakt
Inter-election vote swings for the AKP, the incumbent party in Turkey, during 2002, 2004, 2007, 2009 and 2011 elections are decomposed into parts attributable to economic conditions, strategic voting, cost of ruling, incumbency advantage, political realignment and other factors. For this purpose a vote equation, fitted to data covering twenty-seven National Assembly, Senate, and Provincial Council elections, held between 1950 and 2011 is used. The results show the pivotal role played by the economy on the political fortunes of incumbent parties. (original abstract)
Dostępne w
Biblioteka Główna Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Poznaniu
Pełny tekst
Pokaż
Bibliografia
Pokaż
  1. Akarca A. T. (2011), A Prediction for AKP's Nationwide Vote Share in the 12 June 2011 Tur-kish Parliamentary Election, "Ýktisat Ýţletme ve Finans" 26 (302), pp. 53-74.
  2. Akarca A. T. (2010), Analysis of the 2009 Turkish Election Results from an Economic Voting Perspective, "European Research Studies Journal" 13, 2010, pp. 3-38.
  3. Akarca A. T. (2009), A Prediction for AKP's Nationwide Vote Share in the 29 March 2009 Turkish Local Elections, "Ýktisat Ýţletme ve Finans" 24 (276), pp. 7-22.
  4. Akarca A. T. and Baţlevent, C. (2009), Inter-party Vote Movements in Turkey: The sources of AKP Votes in 2007, "Ýktisat Ýţletme ve Finans" 24 (285), pp. 32-47.
  5. Akarca A. T. and Tansel, A. (2007), Social and Economic Determinants of Turkish Voter Choice in the 1995 Parliamentary Election, "Electoral Studies" 26, pp. 633-647.
  6. Akarca A. T. and Tansel A. (2006), Economic Performance and Political Outcomes: An Ana-lysis of the Turkish Parliamentary and Local Election Results Between 1950 and 2004, Public Choice 129, pp. 77-105.
  7. Baţlevent C. and Akarca A. T. (2009), Micro Evidence on Inter-Party Vote Movements in Turkey: Who Voted for AKP in 2002?, Paper presented at the 5th ECPR General Conference, Potsdam, Germany, 10-12 September 2009.
  8. Chang E. C. C., Golden M. A. and Hill, S. J. (2010), Legislative Malfeasance and Political Ac-countability, World Politics 62, pp. 177-220.
  9. Durbin J. (1970), Testing for Serial Correlation in Least Squares Regression When Some of the Regressors Are Lagged Dependent Variables, "Econometrica" 38, pp. 410-421.
  10. Ferraz C. and Finan, F. (2008), Exposing Corrupt Politicians: The Effect of Brazil's Publicly Released Audits on Electoral Outcomes, "Quarterly Journal of Economics" 123, pp. 703--745.
  11. Lewis-Beck M. S . and Paldam, M. (2000), Economic Voting: An Introduction, "Electoral Studies" 19, pp. 113-121.
  12. Lewis-Beck M. S. and Stegmaier M., (2000), Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes, "Annual Review of Political Science" 3, pp. 183-219.
  13. Tuncer E. (2009), 29 Mart 2009 Ýl Genel Meclisi ve Belediye Seçimleri: Sayýsal ve Siyasal Deđerlendirme (29 March 2009 Provincial General Council and Municipality Elections: A Quantitative and Political Evaluation). TESAV SAV : Ankara, Turkey
  14. Tuncer E. (2007), 22 Temmuz 2007 Milletvekili Genel Seçimleri: Sayýsal ve Siyasal Deđer-lendirme (22 July 2007 Elections for Members of Parliament: A Quantitative and Political Evaluation). TESAV SAV : Ankara, Turkey
  15. Tuncer E. and Kasapbaţ C. (2004), 28 Mart 2004 Ýl Genel Meclisi ve Belediye Seçimleri: Sayýsal ve Siyasal Deđerlendirme (28 March 2004 Provincial General Assembly and Municipality Elections: A Quantitative and Political Evaluation). TESAV SAV : Ankara, Turkey.
  16. Tuncer E. (2002), Osmanlý'dan Günümüze Seçimler: 1877-1999 (Elections From the Ottomans to the Present: 1877-1999). TESAV SAV : Ankara, Turkey.
  17. White H. (1980), "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity, "Econometrica" 48, pp. 817-838.
Cytowane przez
Pokaż
ISSN
1689-765X
Język
eng
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