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Vlahinic Nela (University of Rijeka, Croatia), Jakovac Pavle (University of Rijeka, Croatia)
Revisiting the Energy Consumption-Growth Nexus for Croatia: New Evidence from a Multivariate Framework Analysis
Contemporary Economics, 2014, vol. 8, nr 4, s. 435-452, tab., rys., bibliogr. 81 poz.
Słowa kluczowe
Zużycie energii, Rozwój gospodarczy, Studium przypadku
Energy consumption, Economic development, Case study
This paper applies the most recently developed autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) co-integration procedure to re-investigate co-integration and the causal relationship between energy consumption and real GDP within a multivariate framework that includes capital stock and labor input for Croatia during the 1952-2011 period. The empirical results fully support a positive longrun co-integrated relationship between production inputs and real GDP and the important role of energy in economic growth. It is found that a unidirectional causality runs from total final energy consumption to real GDP in the long run and that a bidirectional causality in the short run, which means that energy is a necessary requirement for economic growth. Additionally, the reduction in energy consumption could adversely affect GDP in the short and long run. Therefore, Croatia should adopt a more vigorous economic policy aimed toward increasing investments in installed energy capacities and reforming the economic structure towards reindustrialization and more energy-efficient industries.(original abstract)
Pełny tekst
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