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Autor
Shevchuk Victor (Cracow University of Technology, Poland)
Tytuł
Modelling of Agricultural Import Demand in Ukraine
Źródło
Information Systems in Management, 2014, vol. 3, nr 3, s. 201-211, rys., tab., bibliogr. 14 poz.
Systemy Informatyczne w Zarządzaniu
Słowa kluczowe
Efekt substytucyjny, Import, Produkty rolne, Ceny produktów rolnych, Kurs walutowy, Filtry Kalmana
Substitution effect, Import, Agricultural products, Agricultural prices, Exchange rates, Kalman filters
Uwagi
summ.
Kraj/Region
Ukraina
Ukraine
Abstrakt
Based on the monthly data from four aggregated agricultural sectors for the 2001-2014 period, this paper investigates the determinants of demand for agricultural imports in Ukraine by using the time-varying parameter technique (the Kalman filter). The outcome suggests that the real exchange rate depreciation contributes to a lower demand for meat, fish and dairy products; vegetable oil and foodstuffs, while not affecting demand for wheat and vegetables. Domestic industrial output correlates with a higher demand for all four groups of agricultural imports. Import substitution effect of domestic agricultural production is found for three out of four groups of agricultural imports, except meat, fish and dairy products. Following an increase in international prices, there is a decrease in demand for wheat and vegetables, as well as for foodstuffs, while there is an opposite effect in demand for other groups, i.e. meat, fish and dairy products and vegetable oil. (original abstract)
Pełny tekst
Pokaż
Bibliografia
Pokaż
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  2. Erjavec E., Gambelli D., Turk J. (1998) The supply response and structural breaks in Slovene agriculture, in: Agricultural price reform under transition in Bulgaria, Romania, and Slovenia, Mergos G. (ed.), Options Méditerranéennes: Série B. Etudes et Recherches, no. 22, CIHEAM, Chania, pp. 132-146.
  3. Haq Z., Meilke K. (2010), Do the BRICs and Emerging Markets Differ in Their Agrifood Imports?, Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 61, no. 1, pp. 1-14.
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  6. Jones C. (2008) Aggregate and Sector Import Price Elasticities for a Sample of African Countries, CREDIT Research Paper No. 08/03, University of Nottingham: Centre for Research in Economic Development and International Trade, Nottingham.
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  8. Melo O., Vogt M. (1984) Determinants of the demand for imports of Venezuela, Journal of Development Economics, vol. 14, pp. 351-358.
  9. Orden D. (2000) Exchange Rate Effects on Agricultural Trade and Trade Relations, Policy Harmonization and Adjustment in the North American Agricultural and Food Industry, Proceedings of the 5th Agricultural and Food Policy System Information Workshop (Acapulco, Mexico, 4-5 March 1999), pp. 6-23.
  10. Santos-Paulino A. (2002) The effects of trade liberalization on imports in selected developing countries, World Development, vol. 30, no. 6, pp. 959-974.
  11. Schmitz T., Seale J. (2002) Import Demand for Disaggregate Fresh Fruits in Japan, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 585-602.
  12. Song W. (2006) Import Demand Elasticities for Agricultural Products in Korea, http://www.apeaweb.org/confer/sea06/papers/song.pdf
  13. Tsionas E., Christopoulos D. (2004) International Evidence on Import Demand, Empirica, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 43-53.
  14. Zhuang R., Abbott P. (2007) Price Elasticities of Key Agricultural Commodities in China, China Economic Review, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 155-169.
Cytowane przez
Pokaż
ISSN
2084-5537
Język
eng
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