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Olubusoye Olusanya Elisa (University of Ibadan, Nigeria), Korter Grace Oluwatoyin (University of Ibadan; Federal Polytechnic, Nigeria), Salisu Afees Adebare (University of Ibadan, Nigeria)
Modelling Road Traffic Crashes Using Spatial Autoregressive Model with Additional Endogenous Variable
Statistics in Transition, 2016, vol. 17, nr 4, s. 659-670, tab., rys., bibliogr. s. 669-670
Słowa kluczowe
Wypadki drogowe, Estymatory, Estymacja, Przestrzenna analiza statystyczna
Road accidents, Estimators, Estimation, Spatial statistical analysis
Road traffic crashes have become a global issue of concern because of the number of deaths and injuries. The model of interest is a linear cross sectional Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) model with additional endogenous variables, exogenous variables and SAR disturbances. The focus is on RTC in Oyo state, Nigeria. The number of RTC in each LGA of the state is the dependent variable. A 33x33 weights matrix; travel density; land area and major road length of each LGA were used as exogenous variables and population was the IV. The objective is to determine the hotspots and examine whether the number of RTC cases in a given LGA is affected by the number of RTC cases of neighbouring LGAs and an instrumental variable. The hotspots include Oluyole, Ido, Akinyele, Egbeda, Atiba, Oyo East, and Ogbomosho South LGAs. The study concludes that the number of RTC in a given LGA is affected by the number of RTC in contiguous LGAs. The policy implication is that road safety and security measures must be administered simultaneously to LGAs with high concentration of RTC and their neighbours to achieve significant remedial effect. (original abstract)
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Biblioteka Główna Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Krakowie
Biblioteka Główna Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Katowicach
Pełny tekst
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