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Autor
Kuchcik Magdalena (Polish Academy of Sciences)
Tytuł
The Present and Future State of the Climate in Poland and Bulgaria
Źródło
Europa XXI, 2015, vol. 29, s. 7-22, rys., tab., bibliogr. 14 poz.
Tytuł własny numeru
The Impact of Climate on Some Sectors of the Economy in Poland and Bulgaria and their Adaptation
Słowa kluczowe
Zmiany klimatyczne, Prognozowanie, Opad atmosferyczny, Klimat
Climate change, Forecasting, Precipitation, Climate
Uwagi
summ.
Kraj/Region
Polska, Bułgaria
Poland, Bulgaria
Abstrakt
This paper presents contemporary climatic conditions over the years 2000-2014, as well as predictions for climate change up to 2100 in the cases of 6 meteorological stations located in Poland and 6 in Bulgaria. The present climates of Poland and Bulgaria differ markedly in terms of ranges of air temperature, numbers of non-frosty days and sums for active temperatures above 5 and 10°C, though they prove to be similar as regards rainfall totals. In contrast, predictions suggest that climatic differences between the two countries will grow, most especially as a consequence of the forecast reduction in precipitation totals for Bulgaria.(original abstract)
Dostępne w
Biblioteka Główna Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Katowicach
Pełny tekst
Pokaż
Bibliografia
Pokaż
  1. Alexandrov V.A, 1997. Vulnerability of agronomic systems in Bulgaria. Climatic Change, vol. 36, pp. 135-149.
  2. Bac S., Rojek M., 1999. Meteorologia i klimatologia w inżynierii środowiska. Wrocław: Wydawnictwo Akademii Rolniczej, 314 pp.
  3. Bielec-Bąkowska Z., Piotrowicz K., 2001. Wieloletnia zmienność okresu bezprzymrozkowego w Polsce w latach 1951-2006. Prace i Studia Geograficzne, no. 47, pp. 77-86.
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  6. Gulinova N., 1974. Methods in agricultural climatology. St. Petersburg: Gidrometeoizdat, 260 pp.
  7. Hawkins E., Sutton R., 2011, The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Climate Dynamics, vol. 37, no. 1, pp. 407-418.
  8. IPCC, 2007. Summary for Policymakers [in:] Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  9. IPCC, 2014. Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of climate change, summary for policymakers. 32 pp. http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/syr/AR5_SYR_FINAL_SPM.pdf [1 October 2015].
  10. Peel M.C., Finlayson B.L., Mcmahon T.A., 2007. Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 11, no. 5, pp. 1633-1644.
  11. Shield S., Dai Z., 2015. Comparison of uncertainty of two precipitation prediction models. Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, DOI arXiv:1508.03662.
  12. Smith P., Bustamante M., Ahammad H., Clark H., Dong H., Elsiddig E.A., Haberl H., Harper R., House J., Jafari M., Masera O., Mbow C., Ravindranath N.H., Rice C.W., Robledo Abad C., Romanovskaya A., Sperling F., Tubiello F., 2014. Agriculture, forestry and other land use (AFOLU). [in:] O. Edenhofer, R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, E. Farahani, S. Kadner, K. Seyboth A. Adler, I. Baum, S. Brunner, P. Eickemeier, B. Kriemann, J. Savolainen, S. Schlömer, C. von Stechow, T. Zwickel and J.C. Minx (eds.), Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 811-922.
  13. Watson R.T., Core Writing Team (eds.), 2001. Climate Change 2001: Synthesis Report. A contribution of working groups I, II, and III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 398 pp.
  14. WHO/WMO, 2012. Atlas of health and climate. WMO-No 1098, Geneva: WHO Press, 68 pp.
Cytowane przez
Pokaż
ISSN
1429-7132
Język
eng
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