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Autor
Gbenga Peter Gbenga Peter (Anchor University, Nigeria), L. Oladele L. Oladele Oderinde (Anchor University, Nigeria)
Tytuł
International Remittance Inflows and Import Spending in Nigeria
Wpływ międzynarodowych przekazów i wydatki importowe w Nigerii
Źródło
Nauki o Finansach / Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu, 2020, vol. 25, nr 2-3, s. 55-79, rys., tab., bibliogr. 59 poz.
Financial Sciences / Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu
Słowa kluczowe
Miernik ryzyka (VaR), Migracja, Import
VaR method, Migration, Import
Uwagi
Klasyfikacja JEL: F24, B22, F22, F10
streszcz., summ.
Kraj/Region
Nigeria
Nigeria
Abstrakt
W tym badaniu przeanalizowano historyczne trendy dotyczące przekazów pieniężnych i wydatków importowych w Nigerii, aby określić możliwe następstwa pandemii COVID-19. W modelu VAR wykorzystano dane szeregów czasowych z lat 1977-2019. Wynik wskazuje, że szok jednostkowy dotyczący przekazów pieniężnych odpowiada za około 28% wahań popytu importowego w drugim okresie. Przekazy zarobków migrantów i PKB na mieszkańca wykazują słaby związek endogeniczny. Przekazy pieniężne są zwykle stabilne i kurs wymiany nie ma na nie wpływu. W związku z tym popyt na import może nie spaść znacząco ze względu na spadek przekazów pieniężnych w wyniku COVID-19. Dlatego usprawniona ekspansja przemysłowa w zakresie produkcji towarów i usług ma zasadnicze znaczenie dla ograniczenia zagregowanego popytu na import.(abstrakt oryginalny)

This study examined the historical trends of remittances and import spending in Nigeria to determine the possible aftermaths of COVID-19 pandemic. Time series data for the period 1977- -2019 was used in a VAR model. Result indicates that a unit shock on remittances accounts for about 28% variation in import demand in the second period. Migrant's remittances and GDP per capita show a weak endogenous relationship. Remittances tend to be stable and not affected by the exchange rate. Thus, import demand may not reduce significantly due to fall in remittances as a consequence of COVID-19. Therefore, improved industrial expansion in the production of goods and services are essential in curtailing aggregate import demand.(original abstract)
Dostępne w
Biblioteka Szkoły Głównej Handlowej w Warszawie
Biblioteka Główna Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego w Katowicach
Biblioteka Główna Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Pełny tekst
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Bibliografia
Pokaż
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Cytowane przez
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ISSN
2080-5993
Język
eng
URI / DOI
http://dx.doi.org/10.15611/fins.2020.2.04
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